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Archive for the ‘How Science Works’ Category

Part 5 in a series of 5 for NextGen Journal Read Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, and Part 4 Scientists can never say that something is 100% certain, but they can come pretty close. After a while, a theory becomes so strong that the academic community accepts it and moves on to more interesting [...]

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About two years ago, I discovered the concept of “dishpan climate models”, through Iain Stewart’s Climate Wars documentary. The experiment is pretty simple: a large bowl filled with water (representing one hemisphere of the Earth) with a block of ice in the middle (a polar region) rotates on a turntable with a Bunsen Burner (the [...]

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Part 2 of a series of 5 for NextGen Journal We hear the phrase “climate change consensus” tossed around all the time. But what does that even mean? And does it actually exist? In Part 1 we discussed the concept of a scientific consensus: overwhelming agreement (but rarely unanimity) among experts. Of course, such a [...]

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Part 1 of a series of 5 for NextGen Journal. What’s wrong with these statements? I believe in global warming. I don’t believe in global warming. We should hear all sides of the climate change debate and decide for ourselves. Don’t see it? How about these? I believe in photosynthesis. I don’t believe in Newton’s [...]

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Next week, I will be giving a speech on climate change to the green committee of a local United Church. They are particularly interested in science and solutions, so I wrote the following script, drawing heavily from my previous presentations. I would really appreciate feedback and suggestions for this presentation. Citations will be on the [...]

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The Arctic is getting so warm in winter that James Hansen had to add a new colour to the standard legend - pink, which is even warmer than dark red: The official NASA maps – the ones you can generate yourself – didn’t add this new colour, though. They simply extended the range of dark red [...]

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Cross-posted from NextGen Journal It is common for one to fail to grasp the difference between “consensus” and “unanimity”. A consensus does not require agreement from absolutely every member involved. Rather, it is a more general measure of extremely high agreement, high enough to accept and base decisions on. It’s stronger than a majority-rules style [...]

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Cross-posted from NextGen Journal Of all the inane arguments made against the phenomenon of anthropogenic global climate change, the strangest – in my opinion – are the conspiracy theories. Yes, scientific fraud does happen, but on the scale of one author, not an entire multi-disciplinary field stretching back for over a century. Imagine the scale [...]

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I really enjoyed reading “Global Surface Temperature Change“, by James Hansen and his team at GISS. Keep in mind that it’s still in the draft stages – they haven’t submitted to a journal yet, but they certainly plan to, and it’s a very credible team of scientists that will almost definitely get it published. The [...]

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I really enjoyed New Scientist’s Special Report: Living in Denial. What a fascinating phenomenon, and a fascinating batch of articles exploring it. The denial of science is a growing problem. It’s not restricted to a particular ideology – while denying the harmful effects of smoking or the existence of climate change is typically a position [...]

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